Wednesday, July 15, 2009

BET: NEW OLEANS SAINTS OVER 8.5 WINS

LARGE WAGER: SAINTS OVER 8.5 WINS

Season Win Total bets need to be looked at as investments, not as bets. These bets tie up your bankroll for a long time; don't use your bankroll, use your investment money.

I just dropped $5k on the Saints to win 9 or more games this season. Here is why.

a) Even though the Saints were 8-8 last year, they have a last place schedule. They play other last place teams.

b) The defense will be much improved. CB Tracy Porter will be back from injury. 1st round pick Jenkins is a ball-hawk stud. The Saints D-Line is very good; Sedrick Ellis will have a breakout year.

c) Reggie Bush is back from injury. He makes this team go.

d) Drew Brees is simply awesome.

e) The Saints play extremely well at home; they are unstoppable in the Superdome!

Where will New Orleans get 9 wins? Right here baby!!

- Lions and Buccs are the two worst teams in football = 3 WINS
- They'll split their games vs division rivals Panthers & Falcons = 2 WINS
- Easy home game vs Jets = 1 WIN
- Easy road game on turf vs Rams = 1 WIN
- Losses to Philly, NYG & Patriots - 0 WINS

That leaves 4 remaining games, Saints must win 2 of them vs:
- Buffalo, Miami, Washington, Dallas = 2 WINS minimum = 9 WINS!
Saints are better than all four of those teams!! No way they go 1-3 vs those teams! NO WAY! Saints might go 4-0 vs those teams. That's how good the Saints are!

9 WINS FOR SURE. Probably 10 or 11 Wins.


~Cat

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